Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.311400 3.875069 4.475368 5.159143 5.913279 6.716583 7.633874
2024-10-13 2.571785 3.359903 4.261219 5.354768 6.632126 8.063993 9.777100
2024-10-20 2.002656 2.909332 4.017533 5.439330 7.182559 9.219032 11.745790
2024-10-27 1.523056 2.465736 3.696221 5.360036 7.491070 10.071638 13.373364
2024-11-03 1.244060 2.223894 3.579653 5.496278 8.040240 11.209771 15.362486
2024-11-10 1.014914 2.003265 3.450399 5.582754 8.505550 12.239318 17.232376
2024-11-17 0.784037 1.730058 3.203286 5.470193 8.680322 12.883909 18.617993
2024-11-24 0.597459 1.485446 2.959271 5.326465 8.785069 13.420338 19.859980
2024-12-01 0.470947 1.315455 2.803714 5.288452 9.019701 14.120981 21.318412
2024-12-08 0.364860 1.156037 2.640296 5.216405 9.189706 14.726433 22.652941
2024-12-15 0.322019 1.117730 2.677271 5.456015 9.818308 15.972967 24.867158
2024-12-22 0.262001 1.023535 2.600351 5.501034 10.151819 16.809984 26.537553
2024-12-29 0.235445 1.006369 2.668528 5.796855 10.887466 18.249443 29.086397
2025-01-05 0.204840 0.969954 2.694977 6.022447 11.522759 19.562117 31.489085
2025-01-12 0.167925 0.902892 2.651002 6.120831 11.960227 20.598123 33.525829
2025-01-19 0.125029 0.797845 2.512129 6.037802 12.101942 21.202194 34.964402
2025-01-26 0.104091 0.756495 2.503677 6.187457 12.619075 22.365341 37.208029
2025-02-02 0.083850 0.706862 2.468562 6.282193 13.045307 23.397610 39.276803
2025-02-09 0.058617 0.617863 2.326148 6.160219 13.103736 23.875152 40.554068
2025-02-16 0.038616 0.532119 2.174232 6.004085 13.092712 24.240683 41.668876
2025-02-23 0.026656 0.475177 2.084693 5.962812 13.271696 24.895540 43.209624
2025-03-02 0.017142 0.417988 1.982149 5.884445 13.379355 25.437928 44.589217
2025-03-09 0.014848 0.416487 2.039256 6.145129 14.090695 26.932948 47.392916